New Energy: Lithium is expected to “blossom everywhere” The outlook is still optimistic

The notebook and mobile phone market are still two major markets for lithium batteries. In the future, the trend of portability and flat-panelization of personal PCs will still force the rapid growth of lithium demand. Smart phones and touch screens will also ensure a steady increase in their shipments. Lithium batteries are also worth looking forward to in many areas such as digital cameras, PSPs, e-books, power tools, electric bicycles, and communications backup power supplies.

Through a summary analysis of the demand for lithium batteries, we found that: In 2010, the total capacity of the world's major small lithium battery market was around 52.6 billion yuan. By 2015, this market capacity will reach about 106.9 billion yuan, which is twice the current level. In the next five years, the annual growth rate of the small lithium battery market will maintain an increase of around 15%. Subsequent development of small lithium batteries will provide a solid support for the development of the lithium battery industry.

Investment Strategy: (1) In the short term, due to the rebound of the sector relative to the bottom, we should pay attention to adjusting the risks in stages. (2) In the medium term, major policies such as the “Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2011-2020)” and “12th Five-Year Plan for the Development of Electric Vehicle Science and Technology” are likely to be introduced after the “two sessions”. The plate brings investment opportunities and should be deployed in advance. (3) In the long term, there is a great possibility that a “new blue chip” will be born within the plate. Therefore, investors should focus on companies that have real competitive strength in the industry and are most likely to benefit from the development of new energy vehicles.

We recommend focusing on companies such as Shanshan, Jiangsu Guotai, Fosugu, Doduo Duo, Xin Zhou Bang and Nan Du Power.

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